Texas (38 electors). If Biden could win this one, he doesn’t even need Pennsylvania. Literally flipping this one state wins him the White House. Biden has led there in polling, and every district in Texas that borders Mexico except one voted for a Democratic congressman in 2018—and the lone Republican ran in opposition to Trump’s border wall. But no Democrat has won Texas since Jimmy Carter did it in ‘76. Biden can win it, but it’s unlikely. Moving on.
I had a great job for about seven years. It started out great and I was an entry-level employee on the worst shift possible. My work and skill were recognized with promotions and raises, even a transfer to a project which was the gateway to a position in regional management, a job that would take me out of the retail world of nights, weekends, and holidays with benefits that would have set up a nice career and life for my family.
At the end of the project, however, the numbers they ran to measure our success were analyzed and found lacking. After a year of work, my upward trajectory stalled and I was forced to relocate back to the store where I was hired. I took a job as an assistant branch manager in an area of operations I didn’t exactly enjoy or perform well in. On top of that, the store had turned over most positions and I knew very few people or their abilities. My boss was someone who took my failure on the big project as a sign I wasn’t as big a deal as people told him and so began treating me like shit.
I was depressed about it, unhappy with my job, but motivated to stay and work at it because my wife had become pregnant. But every month, it just got worse. I hated waking up on work days. Every few weeks it seems by “regular schedule” would change. We went to some ridiculous 10-hour days that were broken into first and second shifts. I put in for jobs at the regional office that I knew I could do well, but I was never interviewed. Eventually, the regional office laid off most of its staff sending a message that office locations would be suffering the same “belt-tightening”.
It got to the point all the employees either didn’t like me or trust me. And it was a fair assessment. I wasn’t fair or impartial or even competent. It was a rough pregnancy at home and I wasn’t prepared for the temp job I’d been assigned. If I had the savings tied up or could count on unemployment upon quitting, I would have left, but we lived paycheck to paycheck and I was nothing more than a shell of a human being coming to work, speaking in business terminology, hemorrhaging business because morale in the store was an open wound.
North Carolina (15 electors). Similar to Georgia, he has a shot here, just not a great one. If Biden can win Georgia and North Carolina, he doesn’t need to worry about Michigan and Wisconsin, but his chances are better there. Arizona (11 electors). This one is on the edge of being a swing state, and Biden can win here, and coupled with Michigan or Wisconsin it gives him the Presidency. It’s a bit of a longshot, but worth investing in.